John R. Fellowes, kfjrf@kfbg.org
(With thanks to Richard Corlett, Charlotte Hicks and Michael Lau)


The aspirational aim under the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) to significantly reduce the rate of biodiversity loss by 20101 was intended to focus thought on how to measure loss, and action on how to reduce it. Most conservationists and CBD Parties were well aware that slowing the loss, in the face of fast economic development and population growth, was not going to be possible so soon. To begin with, even defining the baseline rate of loss was difficult. Biodiversity is a poorly understood concept, in part because it is so complex, incorporating many dimensions - the outright loss of ecosystems and species are extreme cases of decline. Nailing it down to a series of solid, measurable targets was quite a challenge. Eventually, though, the targets were defined and agreed by the Parties (see page 35-36).2 Together, they provide a framework for charting progress toward getting biodiversity loss under control.

So how are we doing in South China? For the official report at the national level, the reader is referred to the latest National Report on CBD Implementation.3 The following, unofficial evaluation of progress since the millennium is based on the spirit of the 2010 Target. Scores in each focal area, based on a maximum of 10 points per target, are entirely subjective. Argument is welcome!

Protecting the components of biodiversity
Various "components of biodiversity" are recognised as needing attention in the CBD targets: areas representing ecological regions; areas of particular importance to biodiversity; declining populations of selected taxa; extinction risk of threatened taxa; genetic diversity of "valuable" species; and local knowledge linked to these useful species. While China's protected-areas system is scheduled to expand to 16% of the country by 2010 under the 2001 National Programme of Wildlife Conservation and Nature Reserve Development,4 the coverage is very uneven across ecological regions.5 A glance at a Google map (even before this year's snow damage) shows that far less than 10% of South China is covered in natural vegetation - the target came too late for most of its ecosystems, including Lowland Wet Evergreen Forest, Tropical Semi-evergreen Forest and Temperate Coniferous Forest.6 For some areas legal protection has increased in recent years, exemplified by the 500 km2 nature reserve at Yinggeling protecting much of central Hainan's upland forest. Still, Hainan's coverage is only 7%, and Guangxi's 6%; in Guangdong it will not be until 2020 that nature reserves cover 10% of the land, and only 7% will be protected by 2010.7 Southern China is now one of the highest-priority areas globally for new protected-area investment.8,9 Within protected areas effectiveness of conservation varies, with some surviving natural forests disturbed by hunting, logging, collecting and harmful infrastructure,10,11 with a range of institutional constraints on improved management,12 such that populations of mammals, turtles, frogs, fishes and other taxa have continued to decline. The responsible Government administrations have been unable to agree on a new protected-areas law, which might have helped. On the other hand there has been overall improvement in technical capacity of reserves, illegal shooting and trapping has been controlled in many areas, and the more resilient species (such as Wild Boar, Rhesus Monkey and Sambar) are increasing locally; additional capacity-building initiatives are under way. To date the criteria for evaluating biodiversity importance of sites are unclear, with "national" factors (e.g. number of state-protected species) arguably over-emphasised relative to globally threatened elements.13 The Government recognises the need for a systematic approach (see pp. 37-38), integrating the extensive but scattered data from recent years, and this must incorporate ecologists' insights. Knowledge of extinction risk has improved through better Red List assessments of some taxa (e.g. land vertebrates and gymnosperms), allowing greatly improved national14 and global15 Red Lists for some taxa. Reviews of other groups (e.g. dragonflies) will be completed before 2010, providing baselines and actual trends in some cases (see also pp. 43-46). As an indication, for 58 threatened species in tropical and subtropical forest biomes of China, a downward global population trend is reported for 54 (93%).15 For many species threats are better understood than before, but there are few examples of threatened species that have improved their status in the wild. Genetic diversity of "economic" species is less neglected in China than that of others, but diversity is still at risk from the spread of genetically modified commercial varieties, albeit slowed by recent biosafety regulations. Meanwhile understanding of the functional components within disturbed natural ecosystems is very patchy.16,17 In all, the components of biodiversity cannot be said to be at all secure, but progress has certainly been made. Score: 22/50

Promote sustainable use

Wildlife recovery is hailed in some nature reserves but may be limited to resilient species
To bring about "sustainable use" means several things: to ensure products come from sustainable sources, and conversely that production areas are managed in ways consistent with biodiversity conservation; to reduce consumption that is unsustainable or impacts upon biodiversity; and to avoid endangering wildlife through international trade. Like more uniformly-wealthy countries China is very far from achieving sustainability, with massive consumption and illegal trade in timber and wildlife, endangering many groups of organism.18,19,20,21,22,23,24 Consumer certification such as that of the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) has been slow to penetrate, and consumers' ethical awareness lags behind that in most developed countries. By contrast, per capita Ecological Footprint is currently far lower than in other developed countries, but this is changing dramatically.25 A specific example is palmoil in Southeast Asia - devastating to forests26 - of which China is the top consumer.27 The region's landscapes show the scars of unsustainable agriculture and land use, with soil erosion, vegetation diminished in diversity, accumulating plastic waste and the intrusion of exotic plants for economic use and as weeds. Ecological agriculture demonstration villages have potential for an alternative, but need clear guidelines to adapt ecological systems to local conditions. Most rivers are fished unsustainably and interrupted by dams. Meanwhile South China emits more greenhouse gases than the vast majority of countries, and emissions are rising dramatically; the region's own fragmented biota will suffer as much as any from the resulting climate change. There has been some reduction in wildlife trade due to disease fears and occasional clampdowns, and some new materials to help enforcement officers, but much legal trade is unsustainable and much illegal trade has gone underground; market monitoring and field surveys suggest depletion of many wild populations in China and overseas due to consumption in Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan.18 Improved coordination among conservation organisations concerned with wildlife trade is overdue. At the same time consumption overseas of products from China often fails to stipulate environmental protection, and China itself often fails to require it, such that ecological degradation through pollution continues. The new Master Plan (pp. 19-20) has its work cut out. In all South China is a long way from sustainable use, and is in many respects heading in the wrong direction. Score: 6/30



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